Use of Situational Analysis in Game Sports
Situational analysis in the bets takes into account factors that only indirectly affect the outcome of the game. This may be the form in which the team is located, the players who have lost or injured, a changed coach, etc. Such an analysis is better to hold before the very beginning of the match, hours for 10-12. Coefficients at this time are not affected by the load, and even time to think everything over is enough.
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Nevertheless, you do not need to lose sight of the analysis of statistics, even if bookmakers use it to form the coefficients. Only in conjunction with situational analysis, statistics can produce tangible results.
The components of the situation analysis:
- Analyze the form of the team
To make a detailed picture of the form of the team, we take as a basis the last 4-5 games. At the same time, we take into account all the statistical components of the game, and not just the final account. The exact account does not reflect the whole situation to the full: statistics are important during the game. If we talk in more detail, we take into account at what time and who scored goals, how much effort was required for this, etc.
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It is important, with what kind of club was the last game played. If this is a weak team, then an insignificant victory over it is not too expensive. If the leading club championship was beaten, then this game will greatly inspire the composition before the upcoming match.
To more thoroughly analyze the form of the team, you can divide the process into an analysis of the form of protection and defeat.
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Analysis of the form of the team must necessarily include analysis of the composition. Players can suddenly get injured, the composition will change, disqualification will occur, etc. For example, if a goalkeeper has dropped out in a team, this is a more serious loss than a retired striker.
- Analyzing the atmosphere in the team
This is a very important factor affecting the outcome. Learn what bonuses players received, or a strong player, inspiring others, or a coach has changed, or vice versa. Find out how much time players are paid wages. If there are regular delays in payments, this will negatively affect the spirit of the team. Being well-trained, but having a weak incentive to win, the team will lose.
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- Analyze the motivation
Motivation is akin to the atmosphere in the team, but differs in that to the brave spirit a specific goal is added: victory for the sake of something. There are many examples where a weak but well-motivated team achieved great success. For motivation, many factors are important, but the main are two:
– place in the standings
Each team is fighting for the right to stay in the Eurocup, the championship, the division, etc. It is the struggle for the place that most often motivates the team. We can’t know exactly what the objectives of the command staff are, but the club management is very willing to spread its ambitions. This can be learned from the press, in the news, on the Internet. Knowing what preferences eats at the club as a whole; you can more accurately say what the team will struggle for.
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– rehabilitation
After a losing match, the team and the coaching staff have a desire to win back and restore their former reputation. If the club has few fans, it will not earn much by selling paraphernalia, symbols, etc. Therefore, the team has a good motivation: to return the reputation to the fans.
- Weather
Weather conditions greatly affect the course of the game and the state of the field. For example, if it snows or rains, the field will be soaked, and running around it will be much more difficult. As a result, the power team has more chances to win. However, in non-standard weather conditions, only 1% of all games pass, so this factor can be ignored.
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- The arbitrator
This information is useful not to all the betters, but only to those who like to bet on the presence or absence of a penalty, yellow or red cards. In this case, information about the judge will be useful. Do not pay any attention to it in other bets, because such information will only interfere.
- Replacement of the trainer
As a rule, if the coach changes, the team starts playing better in a short time. Sometimes the line does not have time to take into account this factor, so you can play at overvalued odds.
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- The style of team play
In each team there is protection and attack. For example, a team can have a strong attack, but a weak defense. In this case, she will score a lot, but also miss a lot. If there are two teams with a strong attack, you should expect an effective game. Conversely, if two teams with a weak attack play in the match, but a strong defense, there will be few or no goals.
The style of the game is very important, so you can’t overlook this factor.
- Support fans
To provide the team with strong support, some games are even made free entry. This practice is often conducted against weak outsiders. Under the influence of fans, the team can show a good game.
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So, based on these factors, you can see how important situational analysis is in betting, combined with statistical analysis. Motivation, style, support of fans, team spirit – all these are important components, without which there is no successful game. What will happen if these factors of situational analysis are not taken into account and rely solely on meeting statistics? As a result, it may happen that a strong but weakly motivated team will lose or play a tie. Conversely, a weak team, which has a good coach, will show excellent results in a short time.
If you do only situational analysis, you will not have an accurate idea of the system of victories and defeats, which will deprive you of many advantages in the stakes.
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Thus, only a comprehensive approach in bets, taking into account statistics and situational analysis, can yield positive results. At the same time, do not seek to overload your consciousness with superfluous information, such as a weather forecast in the summer, facts about the judge, if you bet on the outcome or total, etc. Extra information only will prevent you from achieving what you want.