Statistics and Analysis: Your Loyal Friends in Tennis Betting

Tennis betters know how to read the line and determine promising events. Analyze the coefficients should be taking into account the draw of the players. Having a grid in front of you, you can approximately note for yourself the promising events for betting.

Preliminary assessments of events in the mural

Before the start of a major tournament, you should go over the grid and select all the interesting events for yourself. For example, to find couples with the participation of banknotes for betting on total Over or duels of “players” for bets on tie-break.

Experienced customers of the shop understand that not always in the lines quotes really reflect the chances of rivals. Sometimes it happens that the favorite, in the opinion of the betting shop, is not so. If the statistics of personal meetings do not give advantage to one of the parties, it makes sense to bet on an imaginary underdog with a plus handicap.

It is necessary to determine the number of bets per day, with coefficients and amounts. Optimal, choose 3-4 bouts with odds of 1.7-2.2. The bet varies from 4 to 5%. Having accounts in 4-5 betting shops, you can always find more profitable offers.

Suppose, in the grid, we found a few fights of the first round, in which the acemen meet with sportsmen. With a high degree of probability, it can be assumed that each of the athletes will take their serve. Filed will make aces and confidently gain points on the first serve. Sportsmen will collect a lot of points in the drawings. Promising bets in this case are:

  • total Over of games;
  • tie-break in one of the sets;
  • total Over sets.

It is promising to make a bet on the “warmed up” qualifier. If the tennis player has spent several preliminary fights before, during which his game form improved, then you can bet on him with positive odds. It makes sense to put against tennis players playing on non-core courts.

For example, primers on hard, even from the top twenty often fly out in the first circles. The quotes do not always reflect the real chances of these athletes. Therefore, it is very promising to bet on their opponents with plus handicaps.

For the first rounds, it’s best to select events with odds of at least 1.7. Determine the real state of participants can be in the course of tournaments. It often happens that low quotes absolutely do not reflect the state of play of athletes.

Particular attention should be given to tennis players who have played many matches in previous competitions. It is likely that the recession after 2-3 successfully held tournaments, and the player is overworked, or he falls into a psychological pit. Many inexperienced bettors, out of habit, bet on eminent tennis players, not paying attention to their condition. The shops, considering the expectations of their customers, expose the undervaluation quotes. This should definitely be used and bet on rivals with plus handicaps. It is especially good to bet against the finalist of the previous tournament, which comes to the next one without recovering.

Analysis of women’s tennis matches

Not always bettors dare to bet on women’s tennis. Many argue that this is a separate sport that is difficult to analyze. One of the main differences between women’s competitions and men’s competitions is that the coverage of courts does not play such a significant role. There are no well-known experts on the ground and on the hard.

Women in the basis do not possess very powerful giving, as men. The exception is Serena Williams, and even then in her best condition. Therefore, the bookmakers’ odds on the payoff of the server in the game are not so low, but on the receiving one – not so high. Girls are more likely to make double mistakes. Eloquent examples were the performances of Russians Dementiev and Kournikov, when they made mistakes more than 20 times per match on their feeds.

If men are made to commit about 20-30 aces per game, then among women, no one can boast of such results. Therefore, such an overwhelming advantage in their feeds, like men, there is not one tennis player.

It is worth paying attention to the second feed. Typically, this is the usual input of the ball into the game. As a result, the provider does not have an advantage over the host. Moreover, the opponent often turns into an attack, making a deep blow under the back line or in the corner of the court. The percentage of won balls on the second serve from the server is less than the submission of the opponent. This should be used when analyzing the bet.

In meetings of more or less equal tennis players, breaks and sharp fluctuations in the account often occur. It can change from 5-1 to 5-5. Not all bookmakers have time to expose the correct quotes, which leads to the emergence of arbitration situations (arbs). Skillful betters have time to make the right bets and get a guaranteed profit.

At major tournaments, there is a significant difference in the class of rivals. Often fights end with the rout of 6-1, 6-1, etc. Often the odds on total are larger than sets and games are low. We have to take favorites with big minus odds, which is not always justified.

The level of the game of women is greatly influenced by personal turmoil and psychological problems, as well as critical days. As a result, a clear favorite, it would seem, gives the average game to a player or an outsider.

The results of girls are greatly influenced by their physical condition. The peculiarity of the female body is that the condition can be easily lost, and then it is much more difficult to restore them. It should be borne in mind that many tennis players are under 20 years old. Therefore, trauma and a decrease in motivation occur more often than in men. It is necessary to delve into the specifics of the training process and analyze the interviews of female athletes before matches and competitions.

Women are more vulnerable. Their psyche is not as trained as its counterparts in the APR. Even minor trifles, which are simply not seen by men, cause women to break down, which is immediately reflected in the game. Won, it would seem, the set is given to the opponent on the level ground. Several successive double errors, absolutely unexplained misses in the drawings spoil all previous achievements in the set, or in the match. Watching all this, the bettor sometimes drops his hands and there is a desire to “put out” the TV.

Analysis of pair matches in tennis

Competitions among couples are not very popular with fans. However, many betters get good profits, betting on pair matches. Good success is achieved by tennis players who interact well, play superbly at the net and are able to play since the summer, demonstrating a very good reaction.

If one observes the nature of pair matches, it is easy to see that most of the draws end with a ball from the summer. This pattern is quite understandable. Athletes are located in such a way that one is near the grid, and the second controls the back line. When attacking the ball often does not touch the ground, because one of the “mates” is playing a rally when the ball flies in his direction.

The importance of the delivery of players. Ideally, if a pair is fed, and the second player. At the filing served points will be typed easily. At the reception of the game player there are good chances to take a hit, if the opponent does not do it very well. In the rallies, the task of “aceman” is reduced to taking in such a way as to somehow complicate the task of the opponent. Combination game is the lot of his partner.

In the OnCourt program and on tennis statistics websites, it’s easy to see one pattern. The longer the pair plays together, the stronger it is. In a pair, teamwork and mutual understanding are of primary importance.

In the doubles, the individual indices of the athletes are not so important as the synchronicity of the actions. The coating plays a role for couples who have two acemen. On the grass and fast hard they have more advantages. At least, they will take their blows. And at receptions, under certain circumstances, they will be able to hook the set. If they are well played, and not bad near the grid, then you can include them in the game coupon.

How to put in pairs matches? It is best to go to live and identify one or more weak links. There may be several options:

  1. We found a pair in which one of their players takes a good blow from one of the opponents.
  2. On the submission of one of the tennis players, the games are always delayed.
  3. With a score of 40/40, the gaming advantage passes to one of the pairs.

We will analyze each of the cases separately. If we see that one of the tennis players is well accepting the first submission of one of their rivals, then we bet on his victory in the next draw, or in the whole game completely. The size of the rate depends directly on the coefficient. Quotes for winning the game on the host range from 2.5 to 4. Accordingly, the rate will be from 5 to 3%.

The bet on the next point on the host of the tennis player on the first pitch looks more interesting. Quotations for this event are about the same. We will bet on each point of a well-received tennis player, which is given by the player in not very good condition. Bet better from the second set.

We need statistics of only the games we are interested in, when the weak gave, and the strong took.

We look, how many points have won on the first submission submitted, and how many – the host. Let’s say we determined that the loser won 60% of the points. If we translate into coefficients, then it should be 2.5 for the receiver to win. If before the first blow we see the value of the coefficient above 2.5, then we bet on the fact that the receiver will take a point. After each game, we check the statistics. If it changes, then we are reviewing the minimum possible coefficient, by which we agree to make a bet.

By the same method, you can bet in matches between singles. It is important to find a service that gave out the percentage of points won at the first blow of rivals.

The next option, when the game on the filing of one of the players is delayed. As a rule, this indicates that the tennis player does not have a strong pitch, and rivals easily accept it. In this case, we can say that the probability of taking the feed of the receiving party is high.

In such cases, it makes sense to put a percentage of the bank, if the coefficient does not drop below 2.5. We follow the rallies. If the receiving side carries out counter-attacks, successfully combines and puts the opponent in a difficult position, then you have successfully entered and it remains to hope that the quotes will not fall too much. In this case, it is very useful to have accounts in several shops to be able to bet on the most advantageous coefficients.

We follow the course of events in the first set. We look, how many points and games the host will win. Having detailed statistics, we decide to bet on winning points at the reception, as in the previous case, or on winning the game. The size of the bet is determined, as in the previous case.

Interesting is the option, when the equal account goes to one of the parties. It is necessary to take advantage of this. Most likely, tennis players of one of the teams have psychological problems. In difficult situations, they can’t hold a punch and lose. This is clearly seen in individual episodes. Players start to make mistakes more often, and make illogical actions. The most extreme case is clarifying the relationship between each other.

In this case, necessarily set against this pair. A particularly promising option will be rates on their feeds. If we see that when the score is 40/40 the feed hangs, then, as soon as the score becomes 40/40, immediately bet on the victory in this game.

Matches for the Davis Cup

The tournament for the Davis Cup is held among teams. Not always the strongest tennis players are 100% motivated. It happens that the coolest athletes play a mediocre team. Conversely, tennis players who do not have much success in single tournaments, show the best results on the Davis Cup in a pair.

It does not look like a sensation or a surprise. Average players understand that this tournament is for them the best opportunity to prove themselves. Many of them use these competitions as a career trampoline. After the cup they have a rise.

When analyzing the odds of pairs, one should take into account the previous fights in the current APR calendar. Many tennis players specially prepare themselves for performances at the Davis Cup. This is noticeable in their game form. Determine the mood of the player easily. If you see a positive dynamics in the results, then the athlete prepares himself for performances for the national team.

A sign of such training are performances in paired tournaments, although before that the player did not participate in them. All this testifies to the increased motivation of the tennis player.

It is necessary to take into account the specifics of duels in the Davis Cup. Often it is the twin meeting that is the determining one. Watching its progress, one can understand the value of the tournament for the participants. Motivation plays here no less than the skill of athletes. Here you can see how average players show their best tennis. Conversely, some representatives of the top ten do not give 100%, yielding to less skilled colleagues.

Conclusions

Analysis of tennis matches in all tournaments must begin immediately after the publication of the grid. Not all bookmakers managed to saturate the lines, and experienced betters already find promising pairs for bets. Preliminary analysis of the tournament grid will allow to cut off matches, which, according to the bettor, do not fit into any of his strategies.

In online betting on tennis, it is important to take into account the current statistics, which was formed based on the results of the set or previous games. It will help to estimate the value of bookmaker coefficients and determine the size of the bet.

Separately, women’s and doubles competitions should be evaluated. When evaluating couples, you should pay attention to the teamwork of the athletes. Psychology and physical readiness are of great importance for women.

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